Selected projects

Engagements grouped by practice area.

01 / Resilience, supply chains & systemic risk

Resilience & systemic risk.

Ongoing

GeoSChEMES – geopolitical supply-chain exposure modelling

Various corporate and institutional clients

RoleLead developer & technical lead

MethodsSector-country shock propagation across a network of interconnected economies; macroeconomic and environmental shock scenarios.

OutcomeQuantifies financial exposure and disruption risk for corporates and institutions undertaking supply-chain resilience planning.

Supply chainsNetwork modellingMacroeconomic scenarios

Ongoing

GeoSECURE – infrastructure vulnerability to environmental hazards

Various clients

RoleTechnical oversight

MethodsGeographical, systemic exposure analysis of civic assets and utilities to environmental risks; resilience-potential assessment.

OutcomeAnalytics suite supporting decisions on infrastructure resilience investment and prioritisation.

InfrastructureClimate vulnerabilityResilience investment

2024

Sizing Nigeria’s solar productive-use equipment market

World Bank

RoleLead analyst

MethodsMarket sizing and subsidy-needs analysis for productive-use solar devices using demand-and-supply modelling.

OutcomeEvidence base informing World Bank investment strategy on renewable energy access in Nigeria.

Market sizingEnergy accessDevelopment economics

2021

Disaster-resilient infrastructure

Asian Development Bank

RoleSpatial analyst

MethodsSpatial analysis of road network vulnerability; review of best practices for climate-resilient infrastructure design.

OutcomeInvestment prioritisation framework for climate-resilient infrastructure across Asia.

InfrastructureSpatial analysisInvestment prioritisation

02 / Climate & biodiversity economics

Climate & biodiversity economics.

2024–

GeoTHREATS – biodiversity & ecosystem-risk analytics

Various clients · corporate & public sector · ongoing

RoleLead developer & technical lead

MethodsSpatio-temporal biodiversity-risk modelling; ecosystem-service valuation; geoeconomic driver attribution.

OutcomeAnalytics suite providing detailed spatio-temporal data on biodiversity loss, its drivers, and the resulting risks to society and the economy.

BiodiversitySpatial analyticsEcosystem services

2021–23

NatuRisk – nature-related financial risk for corporates

Various corporate clients

RoleLead economist for supply chains, competition & equity forecasting

MethodsScenario-based predictive modelling of supply chain vulnerabilities, competition dynamics and equity exposure to nature-related risks.

OutcomeCo-developed model predicting nature-related costs to firms under multiple scenarios; framework for aligning financial strategy with emerging regulatory expectations.

Nature-related financial riskScenario analysisCorporate strategy

2020

Palm oil market forecast under climate risk

Orbitas

RoleLead analyst & modeller

MethodsOligopolistic competition modelling of the Indonesian palm oil market under physical and transition climate risks.

OutcomeStrategic foresight on market dynamics under climate stress, informing investor and producer decisions in the Indonesian palm oil sector.

Climate riskCompetition modellingCommodity markets

2021

Nature-based solutions forecast

UN PRI · Inevitable Policy Response programme

RoleModelling lead

MethodsDemand and supply forecasting of nature-based solutions under multiple climate scenarios.

OutcomeForecast feeding into UN PRI’s Inevitable Policy Response, informing institutional investor positioning on nature-based solutions.

Nature-based solutionsInvestor positioningScenario analysis

03 / Environment & health

Environment & health.

2024–26

Projection of climate risks to health from extreme heat

Climate Change Committee · UK statutory advisory body

RoleEconomic modelling & GIS analytics lead

MethodsHeat-mortality and heat-morbidity econometrics; GIS-based exposure mapping; adaptation CBA; multi-scenario projection.

OutcomeOutputs contribute to the UK’s fourth Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA4), informing national policy on health-system adaptation.

Environment & healthEconometric impact modellingGISPublic policy

2025

Urban climate-health impact model

Sustainable Markets Initiative

RoleLead developer

MethodsIntegrated modelling of heat, air pollution, water-sanitation-hygiene and lifestyle drivers of mortality and morbidity; adaptation scenario analysis.

OutcomeAnalytical model forecasting urban climate-health burden in cities worldwide, and the impact of suitable adaptation options.

Environment & healthIntegrated modellingUrban systems

2025–26

Scalable financing for climate-health adaptation

Humanity Insured

RoleModelling lead

MethodsEstimation of losses and adaptation benefits from extreme heat and flooding; avoided-damage quantification.

OutcomeEvidence base informing the design of scalable adaptation-finance instruments at the climate-health intersection.

Adaptation financeAvoided damageFlood & heat

2025

Healthcare innovation emissions modelling

Bupa

RoleProject manager & technical lead

MethodsEmissions footprint modelling of healthcare innovations for priority conditions under varying access to green energy.

OutcomeDecision-support tool informing healthcare innovation prioritisation under decarbonisation scenarios.

Healthcare emissionsCorporate decarbonisation

Ongoing

Flood damages, losses & adaptation benefits

Melbourne Water

RoleModel lead

MethodsAnnualised flood-cost modelling for households, businesses and the state; adaptation benefit quantification including water tank interventions.

OutcomeModel quantifying flood damages and adaptation benefits to inform infrastructure and household-level intervention strategy.

Flood economicsAdaptation CBA

Discuss a project

Open to selected engagements.

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